BP Report Is Out

Deepwater Horizon Accident – Full report and exec summary available here.

Masterful understatement

“It may also be appropriate for BP to consider further work to examine potential systemic issues beyond the immediate cause and system cause scope of this investigation.”

Interestingly contrary to hearsay and published accounts …. although one of the two annular preventers was compromised by earlier error it seems the leak flow path was through the failed cementation in the main well-bore “shoe-track” rather than the annulus [*] ? Basically after all the errors – and there were many – it was a failure to notice they had a loss of containment problem until it was too late.

Even outgoing (outgone) chairman Tony Hayward gets to comment …

“To put it simply, there was a bad cement job and a failure of the shoe track barrier at the bottom of the well, which let hydrocarbons from the reservoir into the production casing. The negative pressure test was accepted when it should not have been, there were failures in well control procedures and in the blow-out preventer; and the rig’s fire and gas system did not prevent ignition. Based on the report, it would appear unlikely that the well design contributed to the incident, as the investigation found that the hydrocarbons flowed up the production casing through the bottom of the well.”

[Post Note – different annulus. The cementation in the annulus at the reservoir depth was part of the failure. The annular BOP (in the annulus between drill pipe and casing) did fail to seal when needed, even the undamaged one of the two. From my perspective, which is not directly concerned with the operational drilling and cementation procedures and quality controls, the systemic concern must be about key safety critical information not being available in real time to a permissive command level of supervisory management systems ? Which is strange because in my direct experience of BP (onshore, downstream) activities in 70’s/80’s/90’s, it was they that first introduced formal criticality ratings to the industry.]

[Post Post Note : In terms of shifting “blame” from BP to others – I just don’t see it. In the reports, the joint representation of the different companies involved is clear at each stage, BP included. And the “bad cement job and bad testing” conclusion does have a prior design element that is maybe not obvious to a lay reader. I have no doubt the string design was not unusual for the Gulf deep-water situation, but it is pretty clear that the cement job included cement design parameters – densities, mixes, liquid and gas proportions – that meant the margins for placing successfully were quite tight – ie it should not have been a great surprise to find an unsuccessful cement job first time around, but that’s why the process quality controls include testing before removing the mud load. The facts in the report don’t extend to the (time is money and we’re behind schedule) motivations to get the mud out and get the rig off the site – just the actual timings and actions. That’s going to require a different kind of investigation with fuller cooperation from the contractors involved.

Two corollaries : First, the commercial pressure to get off the job would presumably concern only the rig costs and opportunity costs …. there is no production downtime issue here for BP, since the job was to seal the well up indefinitely for future exploitation. And second, part of the systemic problem is presumably the cultural distinction between the wildcat – risk-taking – part of drilling operations being “deliberately” separate from the owner-operator production exploitation. Unlikely that BP are the “cause” of such a culture in the US/Gulf, but clearly they have responsibilities about which they could take / could have taken action. Choosing what to know and when to intervene. Tricky one. ]

Semantic Fragility

Not for the faint-hearted, but a new take on an old philosophical argument from David Chalmers on the knowable and the actual.

Follow the Money – Network Style

Kevin Kelley’s thoughts on intermediaries creating value and earning money at the nano-penny per node level.

Creating Your Enemy

Interesting interview with John LeCarre. We’re as guilty as each other, though in general we are more open and honest about what goes on in reality, but there is an important difference between the US and Europe or Russia. Couldn’t help thinking of T Boone Pickens words at last week’s conference – default US position to simply treat everyone else as “the enemy”.

The Eyes Have It

I have a small collection of Niqab photos … they can be very err… sexy. Something I see the producers of Sex and the City 2 seem to agree on (great film by the way). Article here on Moslem women’s choices in headgear. Nothing wrong with tradition (recognized as such), nor religious freedom (with responsibility), provided practical choices are possible …. for eating and identification and communication. I’ve supported “bans” in the sense I support society’s right to ask for its removal for identification and communication – the oft excluded middle again. Obscuring one’s face is not a “right”.

Withholding Grades

Not a lot new here either, but the withholding grades item caught my eye – the crux of Pirsig’s original teaching experiment in defining Quality.

Smart to Say “I Don’t Know”

BBC Magazine story. Not a new subject, the excluded middle often contains the greater value.

Too Much Coincidence ?

Dusty the cat and this current UK news story ?

Heard suggestions on the news this morning (BBC Radio4 Today) that the UK story was in fact a hoax …. don’t see any later updated news …. I’m guessing a meme spurred by 4chan – meme in the (awful) web sense.

I mean, who has a CCTV camera set up focussed on their wheelie bin ?
How are Bale and Mann connected …. that is the question.

The Answer is Facebook

If facebook is the answer, what was the question ? The open-graph framework / foundation of the social-layer on which the game-layer will be built.

The “game layer”;
a pervasive net of behavior-steering game dynamics that will reshape education and commerce.

Intriguing TED Talk from Seth Priebatsch. It’s all game theory in practice … so behaviour steering dynamics is an interesting concept.

Buzz Kill

I’ve been disappointed that neither Buzz nor Wave has taken off – both very clever, but both struggling to find the app that even web savvy people can understand. Interesting post here from Leo Laporte (hat tip to Matt) – even much blogging is like shouting into the void – it’s not all conversation – but at least with a blog it’s your thoughts being collected in your words, your way, and the level of dialogue can be measured in quality rather than noise.